#1

The Seattle Seahawks now have an 88% chance to make the

in Quasselecke 04.07.2019 08:17
von liny195 • 62 Beiträge

playoffs https://www.theseahawksfanshop.com/hats , per 538, and 90.1% over at FootballOutsiders, though those odds as of this writing came before Monday night’s game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Washington. Either way, as of Week 14, the Seahawks would need a lot more to go wrong than to go right in order to get to the postseason for the sixth time in seven years. One thing that would make it very easy to go right is for Seattle to get a win over the Minnesota Vikings next Monday, which alone would increase their odds to 97-98% per 538. You’ll be hard-pressed to find any good bets at 2% odds, which is essentially the same as drawing five cards from a poker deck and getting three of a kind. Sure, you won’t cry “Foul!” if it happens, but you’d be slightly amazed. Especially if it happened on the first deal. The Seahawks get their chance to nearly seal that deal at home against the Vikings in a week. How good are Seattle’s chances to beat Minnesota? The odds are certainly in their favor:The Seahawks are still a better team at home than they are on the road. That’s where they got their only win over a winning team (24-13 over the Dallas Cowboys) and biggest victory by scoring margin (43-16 over the San Francisco 49ers). They also came within yards of a potential game-winning field goal try against the 11-1 LA Rams at CentruryLink.Russell Wilson is 41-12 at home with a passer rating of 103.6. This season at home he’s got 16 touchdowns and just one interception with a rating of 127.9. Only Tom Brady has won more games at home than Wilson since 2012.In December, Wilson is 20-8 with a rating of 103.3, the highest December rating in NFL history. Only Brady has won more December games since 2012, while six more December touchdowns than any other player in that time.At home in December, Wilson has 35 touchdowns and eight interceptions with a rating of 106.3. Only Aaron Rodgers has a higher December passer rating at home in that time.Wilson is 6-2 on Monday night with 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. He has the highest career passer rating in Monday Night Football history at 111.8, among all QBs with at least 150 attempts. Move it down to 100 and only Colin Kaepernick has a higher MNF rating.Wilson is 3-0 against the Vikings with eight touchdowns, no interceptions, and a rating of 142. It’s his highest rating against any team in the NFL with at least two starts. He also has a rushing touchdown against Minnesota. The last time Seattle need a home win on Monday night in December, Wilson threw three touchdowns and no interceptions in a 34-7 rout against the New Orleans Saints Seattle Seahawks Hoodie , a team that was 9-2 prior to that loss. Wilson has a passer rating of 103.5 against the NFC North, the highest he has against any NFC division by a good margin, and he’s only faced the NFC West more often.He is 20-5-1 in primetime.Mychal Kendricks is returning from an eight-game suspension.The Vikings are 2-3-1 on the road.Kirk Cousins has thrown four interceptions in his last two road games.Their season-high for rushing yards in a road game is just 95. No team rushes for fewer yards per carry (3.71) or has fewer rushing touchdowns (2) on the road than Minnesota.Danielle Hunter is awesome but he’s been better at home. He has four sacks in six road games, none in the last two. Everson Griffen doesn’t have a sack in the last two road games. Neither does Sheldon Richardson. Eric Wilson has their only sack in the last two road games.None of which is to say that Seattle is guaranteed a win by any means, just noting that which is in their favor for a game that holds a key that could unlock a near-certain wild card berth. After Monday night’s result - the Eagles beat Washington to send both teams to 6-6 - the Seahawks now stand in the five seed. They are essentially two games up on the Carolina Panthers now. They also hold a one-game lead over Philly with a better conference record to boot. They hold a one-game lead over Washington. They are two games better than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.The Panthers travel to face the Cleveland Browns. The Eagles travel to face the Cowboys. The Bucs host the Saints. If the Browns, Cowboys, and Saints all won, Seattle could be looking at 94% before Monday even starts. A loss would only drop them to 85-86%, while a win would send them over 99%. The Seahawks could even have clinching scenarios by Week 15, when they travel for a rematch with the 49ers.That’s how nice a win over Minnesota would be on Monday, but it is not entirely necessary. It’s just another odd in their favor. LAKE FOREST, Ill. (AP) — Khalil Mack sat out offseason workouts and the preseason, had just one week to learn a new system following a blockbuster trade, and still managed to dominate in his debut for the Chicago Bears.The two-time All-Pro performed exactly as envisioned in a prime-time opener.The Bears hope for more of that when they host Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night. They’d just like a different outcome.Chicago blew a 20-point lead in the second half against Green Bay on Sunday night, with a hobbled Aaron Rodgers leading the Packers to a 24-23 victory that spoiled Matt Nagy’s coaching debut. But before that rally, Mack was the one stealing the spotlight.“Obviously he’s stepped in very well,” defensive coordinator Vic Fangio said. “But I think everybody likes to overanalyze things — how much can you play a guy that’s just come in like that Gary Jennings Jr. Jersey , no training camp, no nothing, hasn’t played since whenever his last game was last season? But I think with special guys, you throw that stuff out the window. He’s a special player. He did special things under special circumstances.”Mack held out the entire offseason and preseason with Oakland while seeking a long-term contract extension rather than play under the final year of his rookie deal. The Raiders finally traded him two weeks ago. And the Bears gave Mack the richest deal ever for an NFL defensive player: a six-year, $141 million extension that guarantees $90 million.Some long sessions getting up to speed with outside linebackers coach Brandon Staley followed.“I’ve been ready for the grind, been waiting five months to feel the grind,” Mack said. “Yeah, we’ve definitely been doing that.”Mack sure looked ready against Green Bay.He had no trouble getting around Bryan Bulaga for a strip-sack against DeShone Kizer that led to a turnover. With Kizer hit by Roy Robertson-Harris as he unleashed a short pass, Mack returned an interception 27 yards for a touchdown near the end of the first half.But that wasn’t all.He was closing in from the edge when Robertson-Harris came through the middle and landed on Rodgers’ left leg while sacking the two-time MVP in the second quarter. Rodgers left the field on a cart, only to return in the second half.Mack also had pressure on Kizer when Roquan Smith got a sack on his first NFL play.“He wasn’t always in the best position, but he still could come up and make a play or make something happen,” Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. “To be as good as he is, to be the (2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year), you have to have all the attributes and he has them. Speed, strength, explosion, savvy http://www.theseahawksfanshop.com/Cody-Barton-Jersey , motor — he has all that stuff. He’s just getting in shape too, so he’s going to get better.”It’s the second time in as many games the Seahawks (0-1) will be facing an elite edge rusher. They had to contend with Von Miller at Denver. And Seattle had its difficulties in a season-opening loss .The Broncos got six sacks, though some could be blamed on Wilson for running into trouble. Miller had three of them, and the Seahawks are facing another difficult challenge going against Mack.“Both of them are very dynamic players,” tackle Duane Brown said. “Von is just a different kind of athlete. Very, very quick. Very fast off the ball, which Khalil has the same abilities. I think he uses strength a little bit more. He plays extremely hard. He’s a factor in the run and pass game; someone you have to account for. I put those guys as 1A and 1B in the league on the edge.”The Bears see Mack as a player who can turn a solid defense into an elite unit and help them break a string of losing years. They have four straight last-place finishes in the NFC North and just one playoff season since the 2006 team made the Super Bowl.It helps that Mack appears to be getting a quick grasp on Fangio’s system. He said he knows “95, 99 percent” of the playbook. He also felt “great” following last week’s game, adding his body “missed getting beat up.”He is also looking forward to playing at Soldier Field for the first time as a member of the Bears. In his only other game there, with Oakland in 2015, Mack sacked Jay Cutler on the final drive. But Robbie Gould kicked a 49-yard field goal in the closing seconds to give the Bears a 22-20 victory.“I don’t know what it’s going to be like,” Mack said. “I’ve seen what it’s like to play there, but I don’t know what it’s going to be like to be a part of the home team this time around. But I’m looking forward to it.”

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